tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post3074013592585345401..comments2023-09-27T03:55:18.369-04:00Comments on The Occasional Observer: NH GOP DebateFredohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13937201111960580542noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-66333172150991659352011-06-15T11:56:31.393-04:002011-06-15T11:56:31.393-04:00Love the way you think, DCLove the way you think, DCFredohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13937201111960580542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-22685694574788803282011-06-14T21:17:07.849-04:002011-06-14T21:17:07.849-04:00Looks like a cabin discussion to me...Looks like a cabin discussion to me...dark commenteerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16212337554492149230noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-87686134504620575042011-06-14T21:00:39.341-04:002011-06-14T21:00:39.341-04:00As for the predictions, at this early date, we'...As for the predictions, at this early date, we're really just spit-balling. We'll get another competition going after Thanksgiving, when we should at least know who is in the field.Fredohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13937201111960580542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-68732657182512704942011-06-14T20:59:45.420-04:002011-06-14T20:59:45.420-04:00w/r/t "Jim", I always speak to my bourbo...w/r/t "Jim", I always speak to my bourbon before making a declarative statement. It's like a truth test.<br /><br />"BTW Jim, I really think Mitt's solidified himself as the front runner."<br /><br />"As you know, Jack, cutting taxes will spur economic growth by driving down the cost of capital."<br /><br />"You know, Austin, I just don't think there's anything unsettling about a guy using a man-bag. European's do it all the ti.... I can't do it. Sorry Austin."Fredohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13937201111960580542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-9449616867406031552011-06-14T17:13:54.504-04:002011-06-14T17:13:54.504-04:00I don't know who Jim is , but I don't thin...I don't know who Jim is , but I don't think Pawlenty's failure to attack Mitt will hurt him that much. The guy is from Minnesota for goodness sake. He's midwest nice. That will actually appeal to a good chunk of the GOP base IMHO.<br /><br />I'm really surprised at how many think Bachmann did such a great job. I guess she set a low bar for herself with earlier public appearances.<br /><br />Huntsman is supposed to get in next week. I wouldn't be surprised to see Perry get in either. <br /><br />As much as I like him, I think Cain will be among the first to drop out, followed by Santorum and Newt. Paul will stay in late for the same reason he did last cycle - rabid devotees.<br /><br />I want to wait until the next debate before putting any money down on who will be the nominee (I did get it right in 2008 after all).ManBeasthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11401272382424890409noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-12732184885928445692011-06-14T16:11:35.054-04:002011-06-14T16:11:35.054-04:00BTW, Jim, I'm with you on Paul. He truly unde...BTW, Jim, I'm with you on Paul. He truly understands the real issues that are undermining our national greatness, and has a real intergrity and honesty that's hard to find. He's the "Mr Smith Goes to Washington" candidate in my book (just a lot more wrinkly and grumpy). <br /><br />That said, 30% of the country would go nuts for him, but he'd still lose in a landslide. A sad indictment of where we are as a nation. Or maybe I'm just too pessimistic.Fredohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13937201111960580542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-66757091181751416752011-06-14T16:09:21.047-04:002011-06-14T16:09:21.047-04:00FWIW, Mitt seems to be in the driver's seat fo...FWIW, Mitt seems to be in the driver's seat for the time being. Tea Party opposition is splintered, and he seems a cut above the rest of the field in terms of his polish, delivery, and preparation. Except for maybe Newt. Who's (as MB stated) done for other reasons.<br /><br />Anti-Mitt support will eventually coalesce around one anti-Mitt candidate to his right, but I don't see anyone in the field who could actually <i>beat</i> Mitt at this point. T-Paw seems to be faltering, Huntsman has yet to prove he's viable, and the rest are sideshows. <br /><br />My current handicapping guess is that anti-Mitt fervor coalesces around Bachmann after she makes a strong showing, perhaps winning, in Iowa. Then Mitt wins NH, NV, edges Bachmann in SC, sweeps FL and it's over early.<br /> <br />That said, only a new candidate like Perry, Christie, or Ryan; or Jon Huntsman establishing himself as a legitimate threat to steal some of Romney's core voters (moderate-right, main street conservatives), could change that.Fredohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13937201111960580542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-46608868446479514802011-06-14T14:10:53.889-04:002011-06-14T14:10:53.889-04:00The post-mortems on the debate in the press have a...The post-mortems on the debate in the press have all been re: T-Paw's odd wimp-out moment, when King attempted to goad him into attacking Mitt on "ObamneyCare". Even in real time last night, me and my Dad were like "WTF was that?"<br /><br />While I like T-Paw, the video of that "wuss-out" has gone viral, and he likely did himself some major damage last night. Certainly not fatal, but he's going to have to regroup and come back with a re-focused message.<br /><br />I didn't feel that Bachmann had a very strong debate; but reading WSJ, Politico, and even conservative political websites this morning, everyone seems to think she's got momentum now, and an open path to become THE tea party candidate (although Rick Perry might have something to say about that).<br /><br />Whether she'll capitalize on that opportunity remains to be seen.Fredohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13937201111960580542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-63946967867929489382011-06-14T12:59:30.939-04:002011-06-14T12:59:30.939-04:00And I'm getting so lazy, I don't even both...And I'm getting so lazy, I don't even bother to spell-check and notice that I wrote "inforamtion."<br />FAIL!dark commenteerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16212337554492149230noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-29822098.post-71289807249329223502011-06-14T12:57:47.000-04:002011-06-14T12:57:47.000-04:00Thanks, MB.
As usual, I get all of my political in...Thanks, MB.<br />As usual, I get all of my political inforamtion and analysis from the OccObs contributors.<br />I myself was too busy watching the Bruins game last night to remember that the debate was even on...oops.dark commenteerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16212337554492149230noreply@blogger.com