The Occasional Observer

Not a snowball's chance in hell, per Jennifer Rubin. She makes a brief but compelling argument.

So aside from looking for Dark Horse candidates, which is always more fun than dealing in known commodities, that brings me back to the reality that there are only 4 contenders who poll with meaningful support nationwide at this point: Romney, Huckabee, Palin, and Gingrich.

Until proven otherwise, I'm going to stick with these 4 as the serious contenders. And Palin has general election viability issues that I think may convince her not to run. We may have a "Big 3" for the second straight cycle. 2 of those 3 are the same as in '08, with Gingrich replacing McCain.

It's fascinating, b/c they're 3 very different conservatives. Huck, I believe, is ultimately the most electable of the three because of his personal charisma. Mitt has the skill set and temperment I'd most like to see behind the wheel from a day-to-day administrative standpoint. And Newt has the feel for the political "big picture", the historical storyline, and long-term vision that can make politics transcend tit-for-tat argumentation.