Friday, December 30, 2011
Fredo's Mad Money update
OK, we're nearing the finish line in Iowa. Based on the contracts we chose, here are the scenarios needed for each contributor to win:
Dark Commenteer: Romney wins in Iowa. Can't win if he doesn't.
Fredo: Romney wins in South Carolina, and someone other than Romney wins in Iowa.
ManBeast: Gingrich wins in South Carolina, and someone other than Romney wins in Iowa.
SHK: Wouldn't know winning if hit him in the face.
Here's my odds, based on current polling and momentum: D.C. 60% chance at the win, Fredo 25%, Beast 15%.
Fredo: Romney wins in South Carolina, and someone other than Romney wins in Iowa.
ManBeast: Gingrich wins in South Carolina, and someone other than Romney wins in Iowa.
SHK: Wouldn't know winning if hit him in the face.
Here's my odds, based on current polling and momentum: D.C. 60% chance at the win, Fredo 25%, Beast 15%.
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3 comments:
And yet, despite my non-entry, I remain a dark horse to take it all.
Sometimes the only winning move is not to play.
SHK, I'll give you the field (can't speak for the other entrants). You need someone other than Cain, Gingrich, or Romney in SC; AND someone other than Mitt in IA.