Friday, March 07, 2008
Democrats
If they can't even figure out how to nominate a candidate, how can they run the country? Interestingly, this article in Post indicates why al gore is the only Dem party elder who can break the logjam.
Which way will Dem nominee be selected?
1) Re-votes in FL, MI
2) Use original FL, MI votes
3) Backroom deal gives it to Hillary, with VP option for Obama
4) Backroom deal gives it to Obama, with VP option for Hillary
I say no way it's #2 or #4, I'll bet it's #1. Probably the funds will be taken evenly from Hill and Obama's campaigns, or someone will donate the money, since Dean refuses to have DNC fund it.
Which way will Dem nominee be selected?
1) Re-votes in FL, MI
2) Use original FL, MI votes
3) Backroom deal gives it to Hillary, with VP option for Obama
4) Backroom deal gives it to Obama, with VP option for Hillary
I say no way it's #2 or #4, I'll bet it's #1. Probably the funds will be taken evenly from Hill and Obama's campaigns, or someone will donate the money, since Dean refuses to have DNC fund it.
Labels:
2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
AddThis
Always sniffing for the truth
Contributors
Links
- Love and Lunchmeat
- Long Island Prepper
- Fredo's Mets Blog
- Continental Sausage
- Human Events
- Maker's Mark
- Michelle Malkin
- National Review
- Newt Gingrich
- NRO
- Pro Ecclesia
- Ralfy's Whisky Reviews
- Red Albany
- Res Publica et Cetera
- Sour Mash Manifesto
- Straight Bourbon
- Taki Mag
- The American Conservative
- The American Spectator
- The Anchoress Online
- The Politico
- The Weekly Standard
- Wild Turkey Bourbon
Blog Archive
-
▼
2008
(731)
-
▼
March
(45)
- Rove on "being a bad human being"
- You owe us an apology
- The Dem Race in a Nutshell
- McCain speech, "Service to America"
- More evidence Dems for McCain
- Paterson
- McCain VP
- Dems for McCain?
- McCain on Iran/al-qaeda
- Good news
- Will Joe Bruno be the 3rd governor this month?
- Our 4th drummer was Ola Brunkert.
- 2nd Amendment
- Wright down the drain
- Hold on tight
- Obama Watch
- Wright on America
- Veep Stakes! Mad Money Part 2
- Fredo
- If it was Ginger, I would have believed it...
- Bias? What Bias?
- Ya had it all, kid
- Journalists who create the agenda, instead of repo...
- If I didn't already know
- New McCain web ad
- I'm so old
- Happy Birthday, Hextall
- And then there was one...
- Democrats
- Some Dark Horse Veep Possibles
- All it's missing is the bow
- Not sure what this pic has to do with anything,
- Where we stand on March 6
- Call it, friend-o: Crist will be in McCain's cabinet
- Now that this blog is hidden,
- Perfect
- Iraq war: McCain v. Obama
- Someone has to say it
- Huckabee Concedes
- Some important news on Global Warmings
- My thoughts on the NAFTA flap
- Joe Kennedy
- Hillary
- The Academy sure can pick 'em, huh?
- McCain endorsement
-
▼
March
(45)
3 comments:
Well, I think this is a 2 stage process. First, they will have to agree on the dispostion of the FL and MI delegates, then the nomination will be determined.
I would agree that a re-vote is the most likely scenario for the two states, but as I told MagBa today, I think it is a frightening precedent. The idea that in the USA we now discard the result of lawful elections on the agreement of a handful of party chieftans is a frightening one.
Once the revote and remaining primaries occur, the back room deal will get cut. How will that play out?
Hill will not willingly endorse Obama under any circumstances. Don't think she's interested in Veep, and feels entitled to the nomination, and views Obama as a usurper.
Obama might be willing to accept the veep role and tack "peace-maker" to his litany of titles. But only if Hill has a legit claim to the nomination (e.g., she's leading in the popular vote or pledged delgate vote) do I think he'd willingly subjugate himself to her on the ticket.
If Obama has the lead in pledged delegates (but not the outright majority of total delegates needed for the nomination) and popular vote after the primaries and MI/FL revotes, then it gets interesting.
I'm guessing you'll see the two at loggerheads for weeks, until we're within 2-3 weeks of the convention. At which point the national party apparatus starts getting very nervous. There will be open courting for superdelegates to switch their allegiance, and the superdelegates will feel the pressure to do so, as the only people who can prevent a party meltdown at the convention. Dean and Gore will likely have to mediate the decision and tell the superdelegates to go one way or the other (one possibility I've heard bandied about is a pre-convention super-delegate-convention that is WTA). My money is on Obama in that circumstance.
If money is an issue (when is it not?), there's also the chance the Dems could decide to seat the FL delegation based on the existing vote, where at least all the candidates were on the ballot.
There is zero chance of that happening in MI, where some other accord will be reached.
I should clarify that my money is on Obama if it comes to Dean and Gore mediating a back room deal. If there is a WTA super-delegate convention, then Hill would appear to have the edge based on current projections.