Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Huck leading Veep candidate?
Yes, according to an insider in this story. When McCain finally announces his choice it will be interesting to see whether he and his campaign think it is more important to shore up conservative base or avoid alienating potential independent and Dem voters.
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2008,
Veep Watch
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10 comments:
I am as big a Huck fan as there is, but I just don't see it. I doubt whether this anonymous claim has any weight.
Huck doesn't fit the needs of a McCain E.V. strategy. Libertarian western GOP states that Obama puts into play: NV, CO, and ID, for instance, are more likely to go Dem with Huck on the ticket.
And Huck probably damages his chances in the Northeast. I think McCain's going to have to pull at least one, and maybe two stunners in the Northeast if he's going to win: think PA & NJ. Huck doesn't help there.
If McCain picks Huck and Barr runs, there's no chance McCain wins in Nov.
Well, Barr's already running. Whether he wins the Libertarian Party nomination is another question.
I wonder if McCain's camp is just floating rumors to see how they play. My guess is they would love to know how each possible VP candidate adds or subtracts net voters to McCain's ticket.
I agree with Fredo, Huck is not the right choice for McCain. Let's say we simplify the target voters for McCain into three groups: FiCons, SoCons, and independents (i'll say this includes moderate Repubs and Dems). Huck would solidify McCain among 2nd group, but alienate the other two groups (especially independents). I think the addition of Huck to the ticket would be a net loss; it would not attract enough new SoCons who otherwise were not going to vote to compensate for the number of independents that would no longer vote for McCain.
I think Rudy adds FiCons and independents, while possibly driving away some SoCons. I'd guess on balance Rudy would be a net positive for the ticket in terms of number of voters.
Mitt clearly adds FiCons and some SoCons, but drives away independents. (Except possibly for some independents who value economy as #1 issue and think Mitt would be a key addition.) Not sure if he would add or subtract net voters.
Colin Powell is probably the most net positive for the ticket, but might be hard to convince him to sign on.
Colin Powell is a solid choice vis-a-vis the electability of the ticket, but his connection with the Bush WH is a big X-factor for his attractiveness to independent voters.
Powell does nothing for me personally, and I highly doubt he's interested. Particularly to run against Obama, whom he has already sat down with to bestow his wisdom to.
Rudy might be the smartest pick if he's willing to go with a pro-choice veep, which I doubt. That will fuel the Barr fire.
Palin! Palin! Palin!
Like her resume, DC?
What resume? I like her--Alaska is cool!
Sorry, just got back from having dental work done...