The Occasional Observer

Based on RCP polling averages, GOP challengers are even or ahead of Democratic incumbents in 7 senate races: NH, PA, CO, AR, ND, DE, and NV.

Additionally, possible GOP candidates are within single digits in three other races: NY, IL, and CA.

A GOP seat is in danger of being lost in MO.

If Brown wins the MA special election, and the GOP can swing three of the 4 close races (NY, IL, CA), and win the 7 races they are currently leading, they would retake the Senate.