Monday, January 18, 2010
Brown continues to pick up steam
Latest polls all looking VERY favorable for Scott Brown tomorrow. PPP poll (respected Democratic polling firm) now has him up 5 after having him up 1 just a week ago. RCP poll summary looks good. Brown is killing among independents, and has also picked off 19% of Dems according to PPP.
Momentum polls one week before the election generally hold true, let's hope that's the case here. It is hard to screen likely voters from the general population in special elections, but it does seem Brown's supporters are way more energized.
I don't think it is possible to overstate the ramifications of Brown winning this election. Taking over Teddy Kennedy's seat. First Republican senator in MA since 1972. It would be nothing short of CRUSHING to Obama's agenda. Dems nationwide would be on the ropes and fear their own re-elections. I have to believe that House Dems would not be so quick to just approve the Senate health care bill (the latest murmorings about how Obama could circumvent Brown's potential win from halting his health care bill).
This election is a monster.
Momentum polls one week before the election generally hold true, let's hope that's the case here. It is hard to screen likely voters from the general population in special elections, but it does seem Brown's supporters are way more energized.
I don't think it is possible to overstate the ramifications of Brown winning this election. Taking over Teddy Kennedy's seat. First Republican senator in MA since 1972. It would be nothing short of CRUSHING to Obama's agenda. Dems nationwide would be on the ropes and fear their own re-elections. I have to believe that House Dems would not be so quick to just approve the Senate health care bill (the latest murmorings about how Obama could circumvent Brown's potential win from halting his health care bill).
This election is a monster.
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4 comments:
Looking very encouraging.
Meanwhile, Tom Bevan at RCP has a great blog post up about Obama creating a new category of knowledge: "unknown knowns." Pretty funny stuff.
The beauty of this election is, even if Brown happens to lose, it's still a win for Republicans. The mere fact that Brown even has a CHANCE to win--let alone the possibility that he seems likely to win--in the most liberal of states, has GOT to send a panic through Dems. I'd think with so many of them up for re-election this year, and with Obama's popularity tanking, they will have to tread carefully throughout 2010.
Furthermore, Dem strategists can't disregard this election like they did in the NJ and VA governor elections, claiming those were NOT referendums on Obama but rather specific to those states and candidates.
Everyone agrees that this election, especially in liberal MA, is a 100% referendum on Obama.
This is perhaps the best article I've seen calling out BoGlo's blatant liberal bias.