Wednesday, January 17, 2007
Underdogs to the fore?
Dick Morris, political gossip columnnist, has always been opinionated and is occasionally astute. That's what makes this prediction at least worth linking to:
It's a rare day when a guy like Morris, who makes his money prediciting the political future, stakes his reputation on the real longshots. I guess we'll see if this works out better than the "Condi vs. Hillary" stuff he was peddling about a year ago.
"The top four candidates for the Republican nomination can’t win,” Morris said. "Rudy Giuliani, John McCain . . . Romney with all of the flip-flops on abortion and Newt Gingrich, who I don’t think gets into it.”
That leaves a cast of lesser-known Republicans in line for a surprise run toward the nomination.
"I think that the Republican nominee is going to be one of these minor leaguers: [Tom] Tancredo, [Mike] Huckabee, [Sam] Brownback, [Jim] Gilmore from Virginia, Duncan Hunter from California,” Morris said. "It’s like the pitching rotation is all going to be injured at the World Series and the Triple –A pitching staff, one of them is going to pitch the opening game.”
It's a rare day when a guy like Morris, who makes his money prediciting the political future, stakes his reputation on the real longshots. I guess we'll see if this works out better than the "Condi vs. Hillary" stuff he was peddling about a year ago.
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2008
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1 comments:
Dick's thoughts mirror a lot of comments we've made here before. In various posts we've mentioned that looking at history, it suggests that Rudy (too socially liberal), McCain (tried before and failed), and Mitt (Mormon) are all non-starters.
I haven't looked much at the "minor leaguers", but unless one of them presents a complete package like Mitt (reasonable conservative fiscal and social policies, articulate, successful track record), or strong emotional appeal (like Rudy and McCain to their followers), I don't see any of those guys breaking through.
So where does that leave us??? Something's got to give in '08!