The Occasional Observer

In the "I didn't expect this" category, it would seem the best question to ask about the Dem nomination at this point is, "is there even a race?" This poll seems to indicate Hill's already got it sewn up. If Obama, Edwards, or any of the third tier candidates can't mount a meaningful charge, Hillary will have all manner of bankroll available in the general. Not sure how long she can use primary $ to advertise, or if they are transferrable to the general, but still, there's a lot of there there when you look at her fundraising.

The double-down-side effect is that, if Hillary runs away and hides, Obama might run up the white flag. Which means he won't spend his tremendous bank roll and will start the '12 cycle with a nice head start on the other candidates.