Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Mitt bouncing back?

The most recent polls in RCP indicate that Mitt may have stemmed Huck's rise in Iowa and SC and pulled even. In Iowa, one poll has Romney +3 while another has Huckabee only +1. Probably the resurgence is due in large part to the recent ads Romney has been running comparing his record to Huckabee's, and painting Huckabee as soft on crime, taxes, and illegal immigration. This sort of addresses Fredo's point that Romney needs to start being more aggressive in defending his record, although Fredo was more specifically referring to when the media attacks (I mean "interviews") Mitt. In any case it seems he would be well served to more vigorously defend himself, given the recent uptick.

If Romney pulls off a win in Iowa and follows it up in NH, I think it all but ends Huckabee's run. Huck might still win SC, although the latest Rasmussen poll has them dead even.

2 comments:

Fredo said...

Huck must win Iowa. If Mitt wins NH, I think he becomes the prohibitive favorite to win the nomination. If Huck wins Iowa, a million scenarios become possible, leading with McCain, then Rudy, then Mitt, then Huck. Fred's dead in the water unless he shocks with a top 2 finish in IA (or a 3rd place that is just points off the leader).

SheaHeyKid said...

I think at this point there's only one of the 5 that are done, and that's Fred. I just don't see how he possibly wins, since he is seemingly no one's top choice and last in all the polls.

I was glad to see both Romney and McCain come out today and blast Time for picking Putin as Man of the Year.

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Always sniffing for the truth

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