Monday, December 31, 2007
Update your predictions!
They're placing their bets over at R 4 '08, with the votes about to start getting counted!
Kavon goes through a set of possible scenarios here.
And in case there was any question as to how unsual this primary season is (we may never see another like it), check out today's Rasmussen tracking poll. With voting three days away, there is a 4-man tie with Fred still within striking distance:
John McCain 17%
Mike Huckabee 16%
Mitt Romney 16%
Rudy Giuliani 15%
Fred Thompson 12%
Ron Paul 7%
Here is my prediction, FWIW:
Kavon goes through a set of possible scenarios here.
And in case there was any question as to how unsual this primary season is (we may never see another like it), check out today's Rasmussen tracking poll. With voting three days away, there is a 4-man tie with Fred still within striking distance:
John McCain 17%
Mike Huckabee 16%
Mitt Romney 16%
Rudy Giuliani 15%
Fred Thompson 12%
Ron Paul 7%
Here is my prediction, FWIW:
IA: Mitt 26, Huck 23, McCain 19, Fred 14, Paul 8, Rudy 8
NH: Mitt 33, McCain 31, Huck 12, Paul 11, Rudy 11
MI: Mitt 31, McCain 28, Huck 18, Rudy 16, Paul 5
SC: Huck 31, Mitt 26, McCain 18, Rudy 17, Paul 6
NV: Mitt 37, Rudy 28, Huck 25, Paul 8
FL: Huck 38, Mitt 32, Rudy 23, Paul 5
Followed up by Huck winning most Southern states, Mitt winning most New England, Western and Midwestern states, and Rudy taking CA and the Mid-Atlantic.
No one has a majority of the delegates. Brokered convention, baby!
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2007
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December
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- Update your predictions!
- A semi-new development
- Just pop it back into place, Alice
- Huck bags a pheasant
- Merry Christmas
- Forms are functional
- Just asking,
- Mitt bouncing back?
- SHK on the 2nd amendment as impediment to tyranny
- Assault Weapons, Pt. III
- Mark Levin makes the case contra-McCain...
- Mitt gets abused
- I know it's the silly season,
- National Review says, "Vote for Mitt"
- All the twists and turns of riding the Scrambler w...
- This just in...
- And this is why I hedge my language
- A troubling sign
- Waterboarding
- Assault Weapons
- The Huck Border Security Plan
- It's Huck Oppo-Research Day
- Huck doubles up Mitt
- NBC forgets to put on its impartial mask
- More Romney Reax
- Buchanan listened to Romney's religion speech...
- Huckabee on crime
- Update on the arrested teacher
- Matt Muggeridge is Sexy...
- Huck moves into the lead in Rasmussen Natl
- GOP Primary: focus on the GWOT
- I'm struggling here
- Rasmussen Shocker: Huck now tied for 1st nationally
- MSM Double-Standard (Episode MCCLXVI)
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December
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4 comments:
Huck wins IA with Mitt a very close second. McCain wins NH & MI again with Mitt a very close second in both. Mitt wins SC, NV & FL.
Mitt gets the nomination, picks DeMint as his running mate and loses a close election to Clinton/Bayh.
Alternate prediction:
McCain comes in second in IA behind Huck and sweeps through the rest of the primaries to the nomination and the presidency.
Your prediction #1 seems likely, almost probable. Prediction #2 would be a real shot in the dark. Of course, you only credit for your first prediction.
What is SHK going to wait for Iowa results to come in before he posts his prediction? Or does he just want an extra couple days of polling data to create an unfair advantage?