Friday, February 01, 2008
Dem numbers
Several numbers look very foreboding for Republicans in the general election, regardless of our candidate. First, in all primaries and caucuses so far, the number of Dem voters has far exceed Republican. As Fredo mentioned to me the other day, in FL the numbers were equal, despite the fact that the DNC penalized FL and they get zero delegates this year. Zero. So in a meaningless election, Dems drew as many voters as Repubs in a critical race. Next, Dem TV debates are breaking all sorts of viewership records, including last night's CNN debate. This is in contrast to Repub debate on CNN two nights earlier.
Now, what I don't know is if this is no different than previous years, and if Dems historically show more interest than Repubs early on then fade. What I do know is that Republican listeners to talk radio far outweigh Dems, so I would expect they should also outnumber them for watching TV debates. That we don't this year gives me great concern.
Now, what I don't know is if this is no different than previous years, and if Dems historically show more interest than Repubs early on then fade. What I do know is that Republican listeners to talk radio far outweigh Dems, so I would expect they should also outnumber them for watching TV debates. That we don't this year gives me great concern.
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3 comments:
You forgot the most meaningful gauge of candidate support at this early stage - $.
Well, I tried to forget anyway. Thanks.
Obama = $32 M in one month. Great.
Don't let the Baummer's fundraising get you down. You and I have haven't cut our checks yet. That. Changes. Everything.