Wednesday, August 27, 2008
McCain
Gallup yesterday and Rasmussen today had McCain ahead of Obama by one point each. Statistically insignificant, as they say, but significant in that at a minimum it shows that they are in a dead heat at a time when Obama should be ahead by 8-10 points. We'll see what kind of post-convention bounce Obama gets, but my guess is not much, and it will be short lived once McCain announces his VP choice and Repubs have their convention.
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3 comments:
Looks like team McCain is well organized and ready to roll. They plan a 3-battleground-state rollout of his VP choice, to be announced this Friday, to completely squash any post-Obama-speech press coverage.
Even better will be the contrast between the Dems (bitter Hillary, party still divided) and Repubs who plan this to be a "unity" tour, featuring both Mitt and Huck. Can you imagine what it what do for the base if McCain picks Mitt and Huck shows his support for the pick? Huck's been publicly negative on Mitt recently, not a wise move in my opinion, but he could make up for it here.
There's also chatter about the VP pick being Kay Bailey Hutchinson, which seems like a longshot. Wouldn't be my first choice, but you can imagine it would lock up a good number of Hillary supporters as McCain voters.
KBH is not the pick. Take it to the bank.
Oh, how I hate the rumor mill. The Politico reports that it's down to Mitt, T Paw, and Lieberman.
Then the Times says Mitt's out.
Then Mitt's back in.
Cantor is "higher on the short list than people thought." Of course, that could mean 10th, so who cares?
Hutchison was getting the late female buzz, until tonight. All of a sudden, it's Meg Whitman. I'd be shocked if it's any female. The only one that should even have been vetted is Rice, and I'd be shocked if Mac picks Condi.
I still think Rudy's got a better chance than anyone thinks.