Tuesday, August 19, 2008
McCain VP
New rumors swirling that McCain's VP pick will be Ridge, or perhaps Lieberman. Now, it is abundantly clear that if it were totally up to McCain, those would be the two possible choices for VP. But fortunately it's not totally up to McCain, and so neither of those guys will be the VP.
So why the rumors? I think a bit of strategizing by McCain campaign. If we look at any of the other possible VP picks, each has a group of critics within the base. Romney, Pawlenty, Jindal, Huck, etc. are not 100% supported by the base, each has their critics. One great way to get 100% support from the base no matter who you pick is to first scare the base into thinking you might go as liberal as Ridge or Lieberman. Once they are in a frenzied panic that either of those guys might actually be the pick, they will be so relieved when you finally announce the real pick that they'll provide full throttle support to whoever it is. I think it's a guaranteed way to get a surge from the base once McCain announces his true pick. It also keeps him in favor with Indies or Dems who might vote for him, knowing that he is "considering" Ridge and Lieberman.
Of course, there is always the chance that McCain actually picks Ridge or Lieberman and tanks this thing faster than the Mets with 17 games left in a season (sorry, wrong blog), but I'm not even allowing myself to consider that possibility.
So why the rumors? I think a bit of strategizing by McCain campaign. If we look at any of the other possible VP picks, each has a group of critics within the base. Romney, Pawlenty, Jindal, Huck, etc. are not 100% supported by the base, each has their critics. One great way to get 100% support from the base no matter who you pick is to first scare the base into thinking you might go as liberal as Ridge or Lieberman. Once they are in a frenzied panic that either of those guys might actually be the pick, they will be so relieved when you finally announce the real pick that they'll provide full throttle support to whoever it is. I think it's a guaranteed way to get a surge from the base once McCain announces his true pick. It also keeps him in favor with Indies or Dems who might vote for him, knowing that he is "considering" Ridge and Lieberman.
Of course, there is always the chance that McCain actually picks Ridge or Lieberman and tanks this thing faster than the Mets with 17 games left in a season (sorry, wrong blog), but I'm not even allowing myself to consider that possibility.
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2008,
Veep Watch
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4 comments:
Meanwhile ralph nader is predicting that obama will pick hill as his veep, and offers some convincing arguments.
I will also say that given McCain's recent success with negative ads against Obama, you have to figure he wants to respond in kind. If he wants to stay positive and "above that," he'll need to pick an attack dog VP. So, Biden or Hillary.
I can't keep up with the rumors. First Lieberman and Ridge were in. Then they were out. Then they were in again. Then the "in again" was revealed to be a headfake to draw in moderates, but they were really still out.
Now they're supposedly vetting Lieberman again.
I just don't know what to think.
I am confident it is not Lieberman, I think the campaign is playing games to draw in moderates and make sure the base response is overwhelmingly enthusiastic to whoever the real candidate is when announced.