Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Grading the polls
Here's where the pollsters came down. We'll see who's right:
Rasmussen: Tie, 31%
Insider Advange: McCain 31, +1
Mitchell Research: Romney 34, +2
Reuters/Zogby: McCain 35, +4
Branyard: Romney 38, +2
Survey USA: McCain 32, +1
Public Policy Florida: Romney 35, +7
Datamar: Romney 36, +12
Suffolk Univ: McCain 30, +3
Quinnipiac: McCain 32, +1
Strategic Vision: McCain 27, +1
Rasmussen: Tie, 31%
Insider Advange: McCain 31, +1
Mitchell Research: Romney 34, +2
Reuters/Zogby: McCain 35, +4
Branyard: Romney 38, +2
Survey USA: McCain 32, +1
Public Policy Florida: Romney 35, +7
Datamar: Romney 36, +12
Suffolk Univ: McCain 30, +3
Quinnipiac: McCain 32, +1
Strategic Vision: McCain 27, +1
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January
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3 comments:
It is clear by the average that this should be a tight race to the finish in FL. Given how split the electorate is, the winner is clearly going to be whoever has better GOTV effort. I'm with Fredo's previous post that gives this nod to Mitt.
I became a fan of Zogby ever since he posed the question in 2000, "You live in Oz, who would you vote for mayor: the tinman or the scarecrow?"
I think in this primary, they will go toward Dorothy - the man without a home, who looks like he's from Hollywood, lives in a dreamworld, and who calls the emperor a phony: Romney.
Guess the old kids on the block got it right. Reuters/Zogby definitely came the closest.
Rasmussen continues to overpoll conservatives.