Monday, January 28, 2008
GOP Veepstakes
SHK and I were engaged in some veep prediction blather a few posts back. Thought I'd give you folks an idea of what people who are willing to risk their cash think.
Current Intrade ask prices on potential GOP VP's:
Huck 21
McCain 13.9
Pawlenty 13.8
Fred 9.8
Steele 6.9
Romney 4.9
Giuliani 6.9
Gingrich 4.9
Jeb 2.9
Hunter 3.2
Graham 4.9
Condi 3.8
Hutchison 3.5
Paul 0.9
Field 36.9
Current Intrade ask prices on potential GOP VP's:
Huck 21
McCain 13.9
Pawlenty 13.8
Fred 9.8
Steele 6.9
Romney 4.9
Giuliani 6.9
Gingrich 4.9
Jeb 2.9
Hunter 3.2
Graham 4.9
Condi 3.8
Hutchison 3.5
Paul 0.9
Field 36.9
Labels:
2008,
Veep Watch
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4 comments:
My hunch: it'll be Fred regardless of who gets the nod.
But what do I know--just look at my primary picks...
Interesting that after the ever popular "Field", Huck is #1. I really don't see him being selected by McCain or Mitt. What I still can't figure though is which way Mitt or McCain will go with the VP thing. Specifically, will they try to appeal to Ind and Dem voters to steal votes (less critical for McCain who already has this appeal), or will they try to energize the SoCon base (key for McCain, and possibly Mitt if any anti-Mormon Repub voters are planning to sit out the election).
I think Fred would be a good choice for either Mitt or McCain..
I agree. I'd short Huck at that price. OF course I'm not sure where the bid price is. There were some pretty big spreads, IIRC.
Only argument for Huck is if he holds enough delegates to sway the outcome come June.
Otherwise T Paw's my guess.
Let's face it: anyone who can guarantee the most electors will end up with the nod. In 2000, the impact of conservatives from Cheney swung several states; in 2008, I don't think it will be an ultra-conservative that will swing votes but a moderate - I believe it will be Rude Rudy.