The Occasional Observer

Some nice debate performances by Romney, some ill-tempered grousing by McCain and some waffling by Huck about his record in the same events, mix 'em together, and what do you have? Mo Mitt Mo.

Check out the RCP poll averages here. Rasmussen has him closing to within 1 point over the past two days. The local poll (Suffolk) has Romney in the lead. Remember how predictive the local poll was in Iowa, the Des Moines register was far and away the most predictive.

This is more interesting than Iowa, because the press has been writing two days of "Mac is Back" stories, based on the polling data post-Iowa and pre-debates. Now that the impact of the debates is being felt, Mitt is closing, has the mo, and those numbers are just starting to be reflected in polls as the late breakers settle on a candidate. Can he make up 5 points in three days, when he'd already saturated the market with name and brand recognition for months? It looks that way. I'm sticking with the prediction that Mitt pulls it out in NH, and a lot of columnists like Chuck Todd are going to have egg on their face for crowning McCain before the votes got counted.

Of course, I could have egg on my face, but who cares? Only a bunch of drunk incompetents read this blog anyway.